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2024-12-14 00:18:57

CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.LME metal futures closed down, while LME copper futures closed down $100 to $9092/ton. LME aluminum closed down $2 to $2,600/ton. LME zinc futures closed down $50 to $3,075/ton. LME lead closed down $38 to $2006/ton. LME nickel futures closed up $310 to $16,168/ton. LME tin closed down $423 to $329,534/ton. LME cobalt was flat at $24,300/ton.A number of officials from Turkey and Qatar will visit Syria to meet with the Syrian transitional government. On the 12th local time, the Syrian Ministry of Information announced that the Turkish Foreign Minister, the head of the intelligence department and the head of Qatar's national security department will visit Syria and meet with the leader of the Sharm el-Liberation Organization, Giulani, and the caretaker Prime Minister of the Syrian transitional government, Bashir. Up to now, Turkish and Qatar officials have not announced relevant news.


Fitch: The prospect of global shipping industry in 2025 is stable.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.


Gaza Media Office: Thirteen aid workers were killed in the Israeli attack. On the 12th, local time, the Gaza Media Office announced that the Israeli army killed 13 aid workers in the attack on the Gaza. Up to now, Israel has launched 144 attacks on aid workers in this area, resulting in 722 deaths, including police and aid workers. The Ministry strongly condemned the crimes committed by Israel against the Palestinians and these aid workers, and called on the international community to condemn them.The allocation percentage of the winning interest rate in the four-week national debt auction in the United States from December 12 was 57.75%, and the previous value was 77.28%. The four-week national debt auction in the United States until December 12-the winning interest rate is 4.24%, and the previous value is 4.4%. 4-week national debt auction in the United States from December 12-bid multiple is 3.14, and the previous value is 2.74.Intel executives: Over time, we may sell some of our positions in Mobileye.

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